{"id":13290,"date":"2024-09-01T09:15:39","date_gmt":"2024-09-01T02:15:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitcoinvn.io\/news\/?p=13290"},"modified":"2026-06-05T11:41:47","modified_gmt":"2026-06-05T04:41:47","slug":"what-does-the-future-hold-for-ton","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinvn.io\/insights\/what-does-the-future-hold-for-ton\/","title":{"rendered":"Durov arrest – what does the future hold for TON?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Following our initial report focused on keeping you and your assets safe in times of elevated global security risks<\/a>, some of you might ask what\u2019s ahead now for TON, the cryptocurrency designed, launched, and utilized by the Telegram messenger platform.<\/p>\n

The numbers<\/h2>\n

While the TON price has come under pressure and lost more than 30% versus its recent early summer high following the arrest of Telegram founder Pavel Durov, it remains for the time being one of the more successful mid-term investments one could have made over the past year.<\/p>\n

\"TradingView<\/p>\n

Even compared to the BTC benchmark, TON has held up fairly well over the past two years – a mark of distinction that few cryptocurrencies of note can claim.<\/p>\n

\"CoinGecko<\/p>\n

The panic and ensuing uncertainty following Durov’s arrest have led to a flight from TON, with investors preparing for further risk of value erosion.<\/p>\n

The “speculative air” might be leaving the room as uncertainty looms over the future of Telegram and Durov, who are currently in the crosshairs of\u2014especially, but not only\u2014Western regulators.<\/p>\n

Given the impressive run from around $2 to over $8 during 2024, many TON investors seem to anticipate further downside.<\/p>\n

One indicator of this is the rapid unstaking of TON in the BitcoinVN TON staking vault<\/a>, resulting in a currently outsized APR of over 100%.<\/p>\n

\"BitcoinVN<\/p>\n

Many investors are no longer willing to hold TON, perceiving serious downside risk that outweighs the 100%+ APR they could earn on TON.<\/p>\n

Purely based on the numbers, this rationale can make sense: If the anticipation is that TON will drop from its current level of close to $6 back to $2, that would represent a loss of approximately 67% of invested capital (measured in USD).<\/p>\n

For example, if you invested $6,000 in TON (and acquired 1,000 TON), the value of your investment would decline to $2,000 (1,000 TON at $2 per TON) if such a mean reversion were to occur.<\/p>\n

Even if you \u201cearn\u201d 100% annually via staking and double the amount of TON in your portfolio through this strategy, you would still only hold TON worth around $4,000 (1,000 TON at 100% APR = 2,000 TON; but 2,000 TON at $2 per TON = $4,000).<\/p>\n

This strong bearish sentiment might be justified, so proceed with caution if you’re considering investing some of your capital into TON.<\/p>\n

The fundamentals<\/h2>\n

First off, TON is highly dependent on Telegram and its small team to maintain its value.<\/p>\n

It is both highly centralized and heavily reliant on the Telegram team’s ability to continue executing effectively.<\/p>\n

If Telegram were to be hampered or dismantled in the coming years, the entire investment thesis would likely collapse, and the value of $TON could crumble to dust.<\/p>\n

\"Illustration<\/p>\n

This makes it a VERY RISKY investment, and it is not recommended for anyone who isn’t a professional investor with sufficient capital to absorb potential losses.<\/p>\n

On a pure risk-reward basis, saving and securing your Bitcoin<\/a> is likely a better option in the long term to maintain and grow your purchasing power.<\/p>\n

Now that these disclaimers are out of the way, what are some of the fundamentals that might make you consider allocating some of your capital to TON<\/a> if you’re seeking to take a risky bet?<\/p>\n

First off, Telegram is potentially the most successful messaging platform of the past decade, with over 1 billion users globally and widespread use in nearly every country on the planet.<\/p>\n

For many “international” users, Telegram has become the messenger of choice, offering convenience where more localized messaging apps encounter national or regional limitations due to regulation and network effects.<\/p>\n

Yes, we acknowledge that Telegram may not be the best option for privacy-conscious users, and other niche solutions might be superior – but when it comes to sheer distribution numbers, the quantitative success of the Telegram team\u2019s strategy is undeniable.<\/p>\n

A strong execution track record and a vast distribution network provide a compelling backdrop for considering a bet on the $TON cryptocurrency.<\/p>\n

There are very few individuals in the world today who have had an impact at the scale of the Durov brothers.<\/p>\n

\"Pavel<\/p>\n

As long as the Telegram app remains as popular and ubiquitous as it is today, TON is likely to remain one of the top cryptocurrencies with actual market demand from users<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The ability to procure private Telegram accounts without the need to tie them to your actual phone number or SIM card provides enhanced security for Telegram users.<\/p>\n

The going rate for such a private handle or number on the marketplace Fragment.com<\/a> is currently 100 TON or more, equating to upwards of $500 per number.<\/p>\n

The demand – driven by users and speculators who bet on the continued or rising significance of the Telegram messenger – could crater if a global crackdown on Telegram halts its ongoing success and drives users to alternative messaging platforms.<\/p>\n

On the positive side, however, TON and the Telegram team have secured some major partnerships within the crypto ecosystem in recent months.<\/p>\n

These include a significant partnership with Tether, the world’s leading stablecoin, to transfer USDT via the TON protocol<\/a>, as well as a listing of TON on Binance<\/a>, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, just a few weeks ago.<\/p>\n

\"Tether<\/p>\n

The future of Telegram<\/h2>\n

Now, the situation has become very uncertain.<\/p>\n

\"Pavel<\/p>\n

It is evident that Telegram and its founders have recently come under intense scrutiny from regulators and governments worldwide, aiming to gain control over or stifle the platform and its reach.<\/p>\n

If these efforts succeed – and with the capture of Durov, they have some strong leverage – the future of TON, which is closely tied to the success (or failure) of the Telegram ecosystem, is in question. This makes any capital allocation toward TON a high-risk investment.<\/p>\n

Given the current situation, unless you can afford to lose the money, it may be wise to refrain from investing a significant amount of capital in TON<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The currently high yield available on TON in the BitcoinVN staking vault<\/a> might offset some of that downside risk. However, it also clearly indicates that many investors perceive substantial downside risk in having capital at risk with TON.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

TON remains tied to Telegram\u2019s future after Pavel Durov\u2019s arrest, with price pressure, high staking yields, and USDT adoption shaping its risk profile.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":13299,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10573,10611],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bottom-section","category-newsletter"],"yoast_head":"\nDurov arrest - what does the future hold for TON? - BV Insights<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"What\u2019s The future of TON, the cryptocurrency designed, launched and utilized by the Telegram messenger platform.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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